Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.Market News: Australia and Papua New Guinea sign bilateral security agreement.Jiuwu Hi-Tech: the first successful candidate for the procurement project of China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Company, with a bid price of 125 million yuan. Jiuwu Hi-Tech announced on December 12, and on December 11, the procurement e-commerce platform of China Minmetals Group Co., Ltd. released the "Announcement of Successful Candidates for the Procurement of Adsorbent Supply, Filling and Related Services for the Construction and Installation Project of Lithium Project in China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Co., Ltd.", and the company was the first successful candidate for this project. The company's tender offer is 125 million yuan, accounting for 16.56% of the company's audited operating income in the previous year.
CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.High-word-of-mouth movies rush to the box office at the end of the year. The Spring Festival file in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. According to the data of Lighthouse Professional Edition, as of December 11 (17: 40), the cumulative box office of 20 movies in 2024 has reached 1.119 billion yuan. Among them, "Good Things" has a box office of 569 million yuan and a douban score of 9.1, which leads both word-of-mouth and box office. In addition, this week's three potential new films, Broken Hell, Misjudgment and Lion Boy 2, have been screened and entered the box office sprint at the end of the year. It is also known that four films, Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, The Fortunes of the Gods Part II: The War in the West, The Bear Appears and Restarts the Future, have been confirmed to be scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025. The "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" launched by the State Film Bureau on December 9 will last from December 2024 to February 2025, and a total of not less than 600 million yuan will be invested in movie viewing subsidies, covering the Lunar New Year and Spring Festival files, which will help promote the market's enthusiasm for watching movies. Huatai Securities released a research report saying that the box office of the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. In 2025, the supply and demand sides of the film market are expected to improve, or will push the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate upward. (Securities Daily)
Yin Xiyue stayed in the office for 30 minutes and then returned to her residence. (Yonhap News Agency)Rosario Grain Exchange: Argentina's wheat production in 2024/25 is estimated to be 19.3 million tons, compared with the previous estimate of 18.8 million tons.The strategy of Guojun Junan Household Appliances in 2025: The subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and the leading enterprises with leading layout will continue to be optimistic about going out to sea. Guotai Junan said that in 2024, the domestic sales category will be divided and the overall export will be stable. The household appliance industry presents four key words: looking at the sky/involution/multi-point flowering/continuous going out to sea. Looking forward to 2025: look forward to the domestic demand policy and continue to be optimistic about the sea leader. Subsidy policy is still the key to determine the level of domestic demand, and we will continue to be optimistic about leading enterprises with leading layout. Be optimistic about the leading enterprises and pay attention to three main lines: 1) Continue to be optimistic about the leading enterprises under the logic blessing of trade-in and going out to sea; 2) For industries with pure domestic demand, pay attention to the turning point of enterprises; 3) Pay moderate attention to the fermentation of potential themes, such as AI+ intelligence and the reform of state-owned enterprises, and the growth of mergers and acquisitions.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14